The PGA Tour heads to Greensboro and Sedgefield Country Club for the last regular-season event of the year.
A handful of Olympians including Hideki Matsuyama, Patrick Reed, Tommy Fleetwood, Rory Sabbatini, and C.T. Pan highlight the field at the final event prior to the FedExCup Playoffs.
The big talking point this week is who will end the season inside the top 125 and in doing so getting into the playoffs starting next week and keeping their card for next season.
And there are some big names hovering around the cut line; Adam Scott (ranked 121st), Matt Kuchar (124th), and Rickie Fowler (130th) all need good weeks to keep their seasons alive.
Most of the top guys are taking the week off to prepare for the playoffs, but Oosthuizen, Matsuyama, Reed and Simpson are taking the trip to North Carolina.
The course is a classical par 70 layout that usually produces low scores.
The greens are average in size and easy to hit, making a hot putter an important ingredient for success this week.
Both the par 5s are reachable by everybody in the field and last year they produced a combined 70 eagles. Eight of the par 4s clock in between 400-450 yards making the most common approach range 150-175 yards.
Course: Sedgefield CC
Length: 7127 yards (Par 70)
Greens: Bermuda
Opened: 1926
Architect: Donald Ross
Here are some of the things I will be looking at/for:
- Birdies or better %
- Fairways gained
- Strokes gained approach
- Par 4 scoring 400-450 yards
- Proximity 150-175 yards
- Bermuda putting
Betting history
2019-20 season
Wagered +35.61 units
ROI: 121%
2020-21 season
Wagered: 326 units
Won: 524.92 units
Result: 198,92 units
Outright winners
Waste Management: Brooks Koepka 41-1, Genesis Invitational: Max Homa 56-1, The Players Championship: Justin Thomas 19-1, Valero Texas Open: Jordan Spieth 11-1, Palmetto Championship: Garrick Higgo 36-1
Picks
Mito Pereira 67.00
2pts EW (1/4 the odds 5 places)
After getting a battlefield promotion due to 3 wins on the Korn Ferry Tour a couple of months ago the Chilean has shown without a shadow of a doubt that he belongs at this level.
After a T5 in the opposite field event at the Barbasol, he collected another top 10 the week after at the 3M Open and then was just a playoff loss away from collecting a bronze medal in Tokyo.
He is trending towards a victory and while on a lower level it’s worth noting that he won back-to-back events earlier this summer so closing should not be an issue for the talented youngster.
The limited stats (14 measured rounds) also hints at a complete player with him gaining strokes in all the major categories and especially the .937 strokes off the tee and .554 strokes on approach hints at a high ceiling.
Hank Lebioda 71.00
2pts EW (1/4 the odds 5 places)
Before withdrawing from the 3M due to personal reasons Lebioda had racked up three straight top 10 finishes and why his odds should plummet due to a non-injury-related WD seems strange to me and therefore presents some good value in my opinion.
The course should also play to the strengths of the Floridian with him ranking 16th in approach, 10th in putting, 9th in proximity from 150-175 yards and 8th in par 4 scoring from 400-450 yards.
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