Venezuela and Peru kick-start their Copa America 2019 at the Arena do Grêmio in Porto Alegre on Saturday in their Group A clash. Form Labs breaks down the action with their betting preview and tips for the game while we have the value with our selection of enhanced odds.
These two should be battling it out for second place in Group A behind Brazil and there’s not been much to separate them in recent times, at least as far as head-to-head meetings are concerned.
Both encounters during World Cup qualification finished 2-2, while the two previous meetings back in 2015 saw them each win and lose 1-0.
However, there was a clear disparity in terms of points between them during the qualifiers as Peru squeezed into the World Cup with 26 points from 18 games, whereas Venezuela ended up dead last as they registered just 12 points on the board – two behind Bolivia and eight shy of Ecuador.
In fact, Venezuela only picked up two victories in the entire campaign as there’s been a greater emphasis on making themselves hard to beat.
Only Argentina (seven) experienced more stalemates than Venezuela’s six during the qualifiers, while adding friendlies into the mix, La Vinotinto have drawn half of their 18 fixtures since the start of 2017 (W5-D9-L4).
However, four of those victories came from their last eight games, including a spectacular 3-1 success over Argentina on Lionel Messi’s return to the side, and so they shouldn’t be written off against a Peru outfit that haven’t exactly excelled in recent friendlies.
Ricardo Gareca’s team have kept just three clean sheets from 10 matches since the World Cup as they lost six of these games, though likewise, Rafael Dudamel’s men also have just three shutouts from their last 10 matches despite that improvement in form.
Venezuela v Peru Betting Tips
One player we do fancy to wheel away in celebration at some stage is Paulo Guerrero, who has scored five times in as many starts against Venezuela since 2011, including a strike in each of the two most recent meetings.
He can also boast a fantastic record in the Copa America after bagging 10 goals across the past three campaigns, as well as a strike at last summers’ World Cup, and the veteran has been in decent form for club side Internacional with five goals from eight outings across the Brazilian Serie A and the Copa Libertadores in 2019 to date.
Given only Bolivia (38) shipped more goals during World Cup qualifiers than Venezuela’s 35, Guerrero appears likely to get onto the scoresheet.
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*odds subject to change.