For Jurgen Klopp and his Liverpool team the equation is simple, win the game by more than one goal, on the assumption PSG will beat Red Star, or face life in the Europa League. If PSG are held to a draw then any win will be enough to see them through. Form Labs return with their betting preview and tips, and as ever we have plenty of enhanced odds for you to take advantage of for the game.
Liverpool Must Go or Broke
They only have themselves to blame after a dismal 2-0 defeat in Belgrade, followed by another loss in Paris, but Liverpool must go for broke as maximum points is the only way they’re going to progress to the next round.
Napoli are unbeaten in this seasons’ edition of Europe’s premier club competition, sitting pretty at the top of Group C and will know that a win would see them top the group, but a point is sufficient for their aim of qualification – and if you offered Carlo Ancelotti that before a ball had been kicked, he’d bite your hand off.
Liverpool Need To Be Wary Of The Counter-Attack
Unfortunately for Liverpool, Napoli are a more than competent counter-attacking side and tactically that plays into the visitors’ hands given the Reds must pile on the pressure at some stage. Indeed, PSG picked off Jurgen Klopp’s men in their 2-1 win in Paris at the end of November, and the Italians can follow a similar blueprint at Anfield.
Although the goals market has often been profitable for Liverpool under Klopp, they haven’t been involved in quite so many high-scoring affairs this term and their 4-0 thumping of Bournemouth at the weekend is unlikely to be repeated here.
It could well start off as a tense and cautious event, especially as a 1-0 win would send Liverpool through, otherwise they’ll need to win by two clear goals. Unless Napoli can get on the scoresheet early, that potentially devastating away goal could leave Liverpool a tad paralyzed going forwards.
Napoli’s Unbeaten Run
Napoli are unbeaten in 12 matches since a defeat away at Juve at the end of September, though they’ve drawn four of the last nine, largely against the better teams they’ve faced – twice with PSG and also versus Roma.
In fact, the Parisians were highly fortunate and had Angel Di Maria to thank as they stole a point at the death when Napoli visited the Parc des Princes, and so Liverpool can’t afford any complacency. The Reds are too short at the prices given the quality of their opponents, with the stalemate standing out as the choice bet.
Liverpool v Napoli Betting Tips
While a draw is more than possible, no one would be truly surprised if the score finished 1-1 or 2-2 given the two teams involved. Mo Salah may have gotten a hat-trick at the weekend, but opponents Bournemouth have a habit of opening up too much against the big guns playing Eddie Howe’s expansive brand of football.
Our attention is fixed on penalty taker James Milner. The midfielder has arguably been enjoying the best football of his career under current management and has been reliable form the spot for Liverpool, scoring three times in his last seven appearances. Although only one of those was actually a spot-kick, he’s already netted twice from 12 yards in this seasons’ Champions League, as well as netting a goal against Napoli themselves in pre-season.
Moreover, Damir Skomina, the referee for this clash, has awarded 11 penalties in 22 games that he’s officiated so far this term.
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*odds subject to change.