What a day of football on Sunday as Man United welcome Liverpool in the Premier League and Manchester City who take on Chelsea in the EFL Cup Final at Wembley! Pep Guardiola’s team remain in the hunt for four major pieces of silverware and a win on Sunday will see them being crowned champions for the fourth time in six years! For Chelsea a repeat of their 2015 success will not only ease the pain of their supporters but could give their under-pressure manager Sarri a stay of execution. Form Labs cast their eye over the final showpiece and try to help you lift the cup with their betting preview and tips. If it is value that you are after then head over to our FanBoosts section and check out our selection of enhanced odds for the game.
Paul Dickov And Frank Sinclair Preview The EFL Cup Final
Man City Mauling Still Fresh In The Mind
This cup final comes just a couple of weeks after the two participants last met as City absolutely mauled Chelsea 6-0 at the Etihad, netting four times within the opening 25 minutes as they simply swatted them aside.
They’ve since put four past Newport with two late goals, before coming from behind at Schalke with 10 men as they struck another pair of late efforts, demonstrating their mental strengths as well as the obvious technical ones.
Chelsea In A Fragile State
Chelsea’s mental state appears far more fragile by comparison and they’ve certainly not coped well with the big games of late – losing four of five matches with fellow ‘Big Six’ sides since the turn of the year and failing to net in all four defeats.
In fact, each of their last six losses versus anyone has seen them draw a blank, as their most recent challenging fixture saw Eden Hazard trying to do everything on his own against Man Utd in the FA Cup, with little movement or support around him in Maurizio Sarri’s rigid 4-3-3 template.
Man City v Chelsea Head-To-Head
At least one team has failed to score in each of the five head-to-head meetings across all competitions since the start of last season, though if Hazard remains frustrated with the service on offer there’s only one team that looks likely to fail in that regard.
That’s especially the case with Gonzalo Higuain struggling to make an impact up front with just two goals in a Chelsea shirt so far, both coming against basement-dwellers Huddersfield, and though the Argentine can point to a limited supply of chances, an expected midfield three of Mateo Kovacic, Jorginho and N’Golo Kante is hardly brimming with creativity.
It’s typically been the Citizens who have come out on top in those five encounters since the start of last season, with four wins over this period including a 2-0 success at Wembley back in August for the Community Shield title. It’s perhaps of little surprise that Chelsea’s sole victory came at the Bridge, as looking at results elsewhere in 2019 so far, they’ve lost all four games when excluding the trip to Swedish outfit Malmo.
City Dominant Against Big Six
City didn’t enjoy much success against ‘Big Six’ sides in Pep Guardiola’s first season in charge, going W2-D5-L5 across all competitions, but since then they’re W15-D1-L3 in such fixtures and such consistency is hard to argue with.
They’re seeking to win this tournament for the fourth time in six years after easing to a 3-0 success over Arsenal in last year’s final – which was both City’s biggest ever cup final win as well as Arsenal’s heaviest cup final defeat.
Maurizio Sarri has never won a trophy in has managerial career, and there’s little reason to think he can alter that at Wembley.
Paul Dickov And Frank Sinclair The Boots Are Off
Extra Rest For City
City also benefit by having the extra day to recover following the midweek European action and squad strength could well play a part here. This will be Chelsea’s third game in six days as they’ve played Monday and Thursday, whereas City played Saturday and Wednesday.
The Blues are less equipped to rotate than City anyway, who possess a more talented squad with greater depth, while Sarri refuses to utilize his fringe members like Callum Hudson-Odoi, Danny Drinkwater, Gary Cahill, or full-backs Davide Zappacosta and Emerson Palmieri – despite the continued poor performances of first choice left-back Marcos Alonso. Ex-City keeper Willy Caballero may get a game here too, with Kepa Arrizabalaga in a race against time to recover from a hamstring injury.
Stones And Jesus Doubtful
Guardiola has one or two doubts himself, with John Stones and Gabriel Jesus the ones whose involvement is questionable.
However, there’s ample cover for the former with Vincent Kompany and Nicolas Otamendi, with the club captain most likely to partner Aymeric Laporte at the back. Meanwhile, the latter would have started behind Sergio Aguero in the pecking order anyway, with Leroy Sane and Raheem Sterling surely sealing their places in the starting line-up after strong midweek performances.
Man City v Chelsea Betting Tips
Sane has now made contributions to eight goals in his past seven appearances (three scored, five assisted), though Aguero has to be the pick of the bunch to register on the scoresheet.
The Argentine has now bagged 10 goals in his last seven matches and no one from Europe’s top five leagues has scored more than him since the turn of the year.
He also holds a truly phenomenal record against Chelsea, with his hat-trick earlier this month and a brace in the Community Shield leaving him with 15 goals in 18 head-to-head meetings throughout his career.
Fansbet are committed to giving 50 per cent of their net profits back to fans. To find out more about how they do it, click here!
And is that is not enough check out our Fan Boosts here. The best odds and an unrivalled range of special bets!
Fansbet, about Fans, by fans, for fans.
*odds subject to change.