Derby have made life really difficult for themselves following their midweek draw with Swansea. Frank Lampard’s men might still hold onto the final play-off spot however nothing short of a win will guarantee them play-off football. Form Labs bring you their betting preview and tips for the game while we bring you plenty of value for the game with our selection of enhanced odds.
Derby Must Win
Derby missed the opportunity to all but secure the final sport in the play-offs as they were unable to hold on to their 1-0 lead at Swansea.
That draw means their fate is still in their own hands, but Middlesbrough and Bristol City, one and two points behind respectively, are ready the pounce on any slip-up on Sunday.
Frank Lampard will be pleased that this crucial fixture is at Pride Park as his charges have won six of their last nine here, but all of these victories have come against bottom-half teams and five versus clubs no higher than 18th.
They host a West Brom side that are fourth in the standings and so far, the Rams have won just one of four games here against teams above them, while they also shared the spoils when Boro and Bristol City visited.
Derby v West Brom Betting Tips
The fact that Derby need a result has been factored into the price and as a result, the Baggies look a generous price given they’re nine points better off.
With their top-six spot already secured, they can afford to play with some freedom, while James Shan will also want to carry some momentum into the play-offs.
In comparison to Lampard’s men, they’ve gone W3-D0-L3 travelling to top-eight sides, so the visitors certainly represent the value, especially as Derby may be without stand-in captain Richard Keogh.
The centre-back has been ever-present this term (unlike injured captain and defensive partner Curtis Davies) with the 18 minutes he missed after going off injured at the Liberty the only action he’s missed all season in any competition.
It’s certainly not the ideal time to lose such an influential figure on the pitch and we think the Rams may have to rely on other results to get into the play-offs.
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*odds subject to change.