If there was ever a time for Celta Vigo to get the result against Barcelona this is the time. With a Champions League second leg clash to come on Tuesday and the a Liga title already in the bag, expect all the big names to be rested here. Form Labs break down the action with their betting preview and tips and don’t forget we have plenty of value waiting for you in our FanBoosts section.
Barca To Rest The Big Names
It was another Lionel Messi masterclass as he earned his side a handsome advantage in their two-leg tie with Liverpool in the Champions League.
Ernesto Valverde has elected to rest the little genius in their last two league outings and with the La Liga title already wrapped up, we’d be very surprised to see him named in the starting XI this weekend.
Sergio Busquets and Ivan Rakitic are also suspended, but Valverde could well rest the whole team that played midweek, and this is a tactic that the market seems to think might happen with the visitors available at 3.30, a price rarely seen for the Catalonians.
Celta v Barca Betting Tips
It looks a good time for Celta Vigo, who are just two points above the drop zone after a run of one defeat in their last seven, to face the champions, but they too could be without their talisman. As important as Messi is to Barca, Iago Aspas is to Celta, if not more.
He’s single handily keeping them afloat, but he suffered a shoulder injury in their last outing against Leganes and remains a slight doubt.
To illustrate how important the striker is to them, their points-per-match rate from the 23 matches he has started this season would see them in contention for a top-eight finish if it had been maintained through the campaign to date; their points-per-match rate in the 12 matches he hasn’t started is so low that they would barely have made it into double figures if that had been their season-long average.
So, we certainly can’t get behind the hosts as favourites, but given Celta have scored 61% fewer goals in Aspas’ absence this term, and that they’re likely to face an unfamiliar Barca side, Under 2.5 Goals appear the best ploy.
Indeed, it has landed in each of their last five without Aspas, as well as four of the visitors’ last five outings – three of which Messi hasn’t started.
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*odds subject to change.