“Six-pointer” games are synonymous with the back end of the Premier League season when relegation is starting to become a reality. However, both Sean Dyche and Rafa Benitez will most likely be approaching this clash as exactly that. Neither side has fulfilled their early season expectations, although Newcastle have found some momentum with two consecutive league wins. Burnley have been defensively poor having already conceded 25-goals in their first 12-games. Last season they conceded 39 in all! Form Labs break down the action with their betting preview and tips for the game and if you are looking for more value then check out our massive selection of enhanced odds and accumulators for the weekend’s games from across Europe.
This game doesn’t exactly fill us with excitement, but it will be a crucial bottom of the table six-pointer nonetheless. Newcastle did however deserve their victory when hosting Bournemouth prior to the international break and have finally got their season underway having lost seven of their opening 10 winless matches, turning it around and winning both their last two at home. The other victory came when hosting an impressive Watford side and if we take a closer look at their defeats, five of them were inflicted by ‘Big Six’ opponents by just single-goal margins, so it doesn’t look quite as bad as at first glance. Indeed, excluding those top sides, they’ve drawn each of their three road trips to Cardiff, Palace and Southampton, all of which finished goalless. With Rafa Benitez deploying his usual shut up shop tactics, we’d be surprised if this one turned out any different.
Burnley are winless from their last five outings as Man City, Chelsea and West Ham each got the better of them. They did also draw with both Huddersfield and Leicester in that time too however, with their most recent outing finishing 0-0 at the King Power Stadium. With that in mind, this looks likely to be another low-scoring stalemate, especially as Sean Dyche’s men appear to have fronted up at the back, keeping their first clean sheet in six Premier League appearances. Moreover, their two meetings with the Magpies last term finished 1-1 and 1-0 to Burnley, with the latter coming at Turf Moor, though the hosts are nowhere near reaching last seasons’ form and we can’t seem them prevailing in this one. Therefore, we fancy a punt on the 0-0 or 1-1 scorelines, as since the start of last season 10 of Burnley’s 11 matches hosting bottom-half sides have seen fewer than three goals, while 20 of their 22 stalemates since 2016/17 against anyone have gone ‘unders’.
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