The AT&T Byron Nelson takes center stage this week on the PGA Tour from the Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas Texas, as all the top players, except Tiger Woods, fine tune their games ahead of next week’s PGA Championship. FansBet golf expert David Kristiansen returns with his betting preview and tips for the event and if you are after some value then head over to our FanBoosts section and check out our enhanced odds available.
What Happened At The Wells Fargo
Last week was plagued by multiple weather delays, but after all the starts and stops Max Homa emerged victorious for his first PGA tour win. The Californian was a star as an amateur but has fined it hard to crack the code as a professional. He had to go back to The Web.com tour after a horrendous first year on the PGA tour in 2017 that saw him miss 14 of 16 cuts and only make a grand total of $18.000 in that respect the winner’s check of 1.4 million will certainly come in handy.
Rose, Fowler, Casey and McIlroy all finished inside the top 10 and even though especially Rory will be disappointed not to win after a Sunday 73 they all look in good form going in to the PGA Championship next week.
As for our bets it was a pretty good week with Keith Mitchell finishing T8 and Sergio Garcia securing us an EW pay out with his T4. Which makes it two weeks in a row we have had a player in the EW places, hopefully we can ride our form an get a W this week.
Wells Fargo Round Four Highlights
About Trinity Forest Golf Club
Course: Trinity Forest in Dallas, Texas
Length: 7380 yards (Par 71)
Architect: Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw
The Byron Nelson is back at Trinity Forest for the just the second time so make sure you don’t put any weight on tournament history before last year. As last year the tournament is really lacking most of the big names with Brooks Koepka (3) and Patrick Reed (19) being the only two in the top 20 in the world ranking to show up. The Texas course is being branded as an American links course with three par 5s which is all reachable, four par 3s with three off them over 200 yards, a driveable par 4 and six of the other par 4s measuring between 400 and 450 yards. It features some of the widest fairways on tour and basically no rough to speak off. If the wind doesn’t really kick up, we are looking at a scoring fest like last year when Aaron Wise got it done at -23. As off now it not only looks like winds will be moderate but also expect soft conditions because of the rain forecasted. The greens are almost double the tour average. So, this is some of the things I will be looking at/for:
- Strokes gained off the tee
- Par 4 scoring between 400-450 yards
- Birdies or better gained
- 3 putt avoidance
- Par 5 scoring
AT&T Byron Nelson 2018 Round 4 Highlights
AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Tips
I’m going back to the Mitchell well, after a few off weeks following his impressive Honda win and T6 at the Arnold Palmer the young American was back in the top 10 last week gaining 5 strokes off the tee and 4,2 on approach. His around the green weakness should also be mitigated this week with Trinity Forest`s large greens. In my opinion Keith is a star in the making and getting him at high 20s in this weak a field is actually pretty good value.
Last years Masters champ has been out of sorts most of the year eventually leading to the hiring of David Leadbetter as his new swing coach back in March. The 28-year-old seems to be turning a corner with a respectable title defence at The Masters (T36) and a T28 last week that saw him gain 3,9 strokes on approach the most he has gained since Wells Fargo a year ago. Even though his form hasn’t been the best he ranks 1st in the field on par4s between 400-450 yards over the last 24 rounds and he has always been a world class lag putter so the large greens should suit the fiery American well.
The 35-year-old journeyman with one win on his resume back in 2016 has had his most consistent start to a season of his career only missing 2 of 11 cuts in 2019. His form leading in to this week is promising with 3 top 20s in his last 4 starts gaining 4,3 , 5,7 and 6,6 strokes on approach in those events. Over the last 24 rounds he ranks 1st in proximity, 6th in opportunities gained and 13th in 3 putt avoidance. He had a respectable T42 last year at this event when in much worse form and Bermuda is his preferred putting surface.
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